Franklin Community
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #78
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #26
Franklin Community Regional Rank #4
Franklin Community Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 19th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 77.9%
Advance to Regional 99.1%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Franklin Invitational Eagle Classic Flashrock Invitational Mid State Conference Johnson County Franklin Community Sectional Franklin Community Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 8/27 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 721 707 773 701 718 746 731 727 713
Team Adjusted Rating 707 773 701 718 703 731 727 713
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Franklin Invitational Eagle Classic Flashrock Invitational Mid State Conference Johnson County Franklin Community Sectional Franklin Community Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
237  Ty Murphy 12 17:09 17:35 17:27 17:44 17:12 17:06 17:12 17:21 17:07 17:00
288  Ari Smith 10 17:16 17:20 17:22 17:16 17:25 17:15 17:17 17:10 17:07
629  Isiah Tunis 9 17:55 17:32 18:17 17:59 17:46 17:54 17:50 17:50 18:24
773  Jaden Crisafulli 12 18:10 18:22 18:10 18:05 18:05 18:23 18:15 18:12 18:02
1,078  Blane Terry 12 18:35 19:06 18:52 19:01 18:40 18:51 18:42 18:31 18:51 18:25
1,283  Alex Lin 9 18:50 18:26 18:17 18:48 19:00 19:07 18:48 18:57 19:04
1,303  Luke Holcroft 9 18:52 18:30 18:51 18:18 18:24 18:21 19:31 19:35 19:48




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 77.9% 18.1 470 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.8 7.5 15.1 17.5 19.4 15.1
Regionals 99.1% 4.3 130 5.0 33.0 21.0 18.9 13.9 5.6 1.7 0.0
Sectionals 100% 3.5 103 4.8 54.4 30.4 9.6 0.9



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ty Murphy 100% 82.2 100.0% 100.0%
Ari Smith 100% 90.2 100.0% 100.0%
Isiah Tunis 84.1% 135.2 28.1% 65.6%
Jaden Crisafulli 78.3% 150.3 1.5% 21.2%
Blane Terry 77.9% 163.3 0.0% 0.3%
Alex Lin 77.9% 169.2 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Holcroft 77.9% 169.8 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ty Murphy 100% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.0 4.1 7.4 11.4 14.9 14.7 13.3 10.7 8.1 5.6 3.7 1.9 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Ari Smith 100% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.1 2.3 4.3 7.8 11.1 13.6 13.4 12.9 11.5 8.8 5.9 3.5 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.3 100.0% 100.0%
Isiah Tunis 100% 28.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.8 4.4 5.6 7.0 6.5 100.0% 100.0%
Jaden Crisafulli 100% 36.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.2 100.0% 100.0%
Blane Terry 99.8% 48.3 82.2% 96.7%
Alex Lin 99.2% 57.2 12.2% 76.6%
Luke Holcroft 99.2% 58.3 7.8% 72.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ty Murphy 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.9 7.1 14.8 26.0 23.6 16.6 7.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Ari Smith 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.1 5.3 12.7 23.1 27.4 23.5 3.1 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Isiah Tunis 20.0 0.1 0.9 9.5 10.8 9.9 9.4 9.7 9.9 11.1 10.6 6.9 5.4
Jaden Crisafulli 24.5 0.3 1.2 1.9 3.2 3.3 4.6 6.6 9.6 12.9 12.5
Blane Terry 31.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.3
Alex Lin 36.8
Luke Holcroft 37.4 0.0